Shocking Secrets About Bollinger Bands And Market Volatility

Bollinger are one of the most popular technical studies used today. They are simple and give clear signals which is why so many traders use them on a daily basis. However, their relation to volatility and prices moves may reveal some shocking discoveries. Or at the least give you a little more understand of how they REALLY work in today’s fast moving market.

First, how do you use Bollinger Bands…

Generally, bollinger bands can be applied to any stock, ETF, commodity, or FOREX pair. And what’s even better is that they tend to work in any time frame; from daily, weekly, monthly to intraday. Of course the shorter the time frame you use, the smaller the technical move the stock will make.

The bollinger bands will tend to be narrow or compact when the volatility in the market is low. Visually this can be seen as bands that are clam and close together like in the image above before the breakout. Then, as volatility in the market increases, the bands expand and move away from each other. This signals that a large move is coming or has already begun.

Inside the bands or outside the bands?

The key to using bollinger bands for trading is depends on where the stock is in relation to the bands.

When prices are outside the bands, this is taken as a signal that the trend is most likely to continue. When prices are above the upper band, this is taken as a sign of strength in the market. Prices are moving higher and a fresh bullish move is upon us.

For weak or declining markets the same holds true just in the opposite direction. As prices move below the lower band, this is taken as a sign of weakness in the market. Sellers are pushing stocks lower and it looks to continue for the near future.

The “Bollinger Band Signal”

Since most violent and rapid price moves often tend to happen after the band tightens, it’s safe to assume that those trends will not continue forever. As such, as soon as the stock moves BACK INSIDE the bands, it gives the trader a signal that the most recent trend has lost momentum and could be turning.

As you can see visually on the chart below. As soon as the stock moved back inside the bands a reversal of trend happened very quickly.

The shocking misconception

Most traders actually still believe that a breakout FROM the bands higher/lower signals that the trend is over. This is actually very costly thinking because most often the trend has just started and they are going to get rolled over quickly.

Trading these bollinger bands is one of the most powerful concepts that is available to any trader. But as always, these bands should be traded in conjunction with other technical indicators.

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  1. Kirk - Admin
    475 days ago

    DBA looks like an interesting short candidate right now and oddly enough is has moved back inside the bollinger bands.

    Thoughts???

    [Reply]


  2. Christine
    450 days ago

    Kirk,
    Can you show a chart with BBs and other indicators and do an analysis?
    Regarding DBA (a little late in response) and this is just me looking at the past 3 weeks on that chart, what confuses me is it starts heading towards MVAs (3wks ago) and then I wait cause it could bounce off and wait then it breaks through and now it has a bullish candlestick. Then I look back at volume and sometimes the volume looks high but the candlesticks aren't doing much more than a doji. As of today, 2/27, it would appear to me to be moving higher but I stand to be corrected. Tomorrow I will probably be indecisve and confused again.

    [Reply]

    Kirk - Admin Reply:

    Hey Christine…I'll gladly do another post with my charts for BB (the one up here in this post is actually my own chart BTW. For DBA, the keep with these bands is that it has to come back inside the bands to signal a possible reversal. If it breaks out higher and then has bullish candlestick patterns it's safe to say it will most likely continue higher for the time being. Thanks for the comment!

    [Reply]


  3. Christine
    450 days ago

    Oh and now looking at the chart overall and going back to the 5 yr chart, I really have no idea what to think.

    [Reply]


  4. Christine
    450 days ago

    So, using this one as the example, we would just watch to see if it is a true break out since it didn't break out and produce a bullish candlestick. It simply produced once bullish candlestick. There seems to be so many factors to consider and there always seems to be something either making me wait to get in or worse get out. (WOW you actually created that chart? I thought you copied it.)

    [Reply]

    Kirk - Admin Reply:

    Yup that chart came from my TOS platform – Prophet Charts tab…

    Of course there are always going to be more things to consider for each trade but don't let one analytical tool make or break your decision.

    Try to make a list of pros/cons for each trade…look at volume, bollinger bands, mac d, support/resistance, and then make your decision. These things are never as white and black as they seem or everyone would be making money right?

    Stick with it Christine!

    [Reply]

    Christine Reply:

    Yeah, I'll say. They sure make it look easy at those seminars.

    [Reply]

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