Cem Karasan of Kai Volatility Advisors joined Option Alpha for an in-depth discussion on a variety of topics, including the 2024 outlook for the stock market, macroeconomics vs. option flows, geopolitical events, the upcoming presidential election, and actionable insights retail option traders can use to help inform their decisions in their short-term trading and long-term investing.
Cem has a unique gift to explain complicated subjects so we can all understand complex topics more easily (as evidenced by his entertaining and helpful emojis, GIFs, and memes). Cem shares his view on the macroeconomic and political landscape for 2024. He also walks us through the structure of consistent monthly option flow dynamics so we can identify and exploit repeatable patterns in our options trading.
Finally, we look ahead to potential 'windows of weakness' in the coming months, and then zoom out to focus on the big headlines driving the 2024 stock market and economy, such as the presidential election, government spending, monetary policy, geopolitical tension, and Cem even shares some potential investment ideas traders can explore.
Key Show Moments
1:26 Cem's introduction and background
3:43 Windows of weakness & last week's January OPEX
15:12 Actionable insight for retail options traders
20:06 Active investing, macroeconomics, & geopolitics
32:34 Election talk, Fed in a box, and is a soft landing coming?
40:04 20-day moving average & std deviation Bollinger Bands
46:06 Where can retail traders find option flow data?
48:48 Looking ahead to February OPEX
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The text is the output of AI-based and/or outsourced transcribing from the audio and/or video recording. Although the transcription is largely accurate, in some cases, it is incomplete or inaccurate due to inaudible passages or transcription errors and should not be treated as an authoritative record. This transcript is provided for educational purposes only. Nothing that you read here constitutes investment advice or should be construed as a recommendation to make any specific investment decision. Any views expressed are solely those of the speaker and should not be relied upon to make decisions.