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Resources
Research
Tag:
Research
Explore the many research projects we've put together on a variety of investing topics.
optionalpha.com/tags/research
Articles
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Research Insights
New Research on SPX Intraday Price “Pegging” for 0DTE Traders
Our newest research analyzes the intraday SPX historical prices to see where the market "pegs" certain ranges from different times throughout the trading day.
Kirk Du Plessis
Aug 12, 2024
•
5 min read
Research Insights
Probability Theory: How Many Trades Does it Take to be Successful?
Our newest research analyzes the accuracy of probabilities across varying sample sizes to help options traders better understand how probability theory impacts success.
Robert Cernera
Dec 21, 2023
•
6 min read
Research Insights
Trade Ideas Performance: Analyzing Option Probabilities & DTE
We analyzed more than 1.7mil Trade Ideas across various days to expiration in November 2023's volatile market to uncover key insights about the performance of Expected Value and Alpha.
Robert Cernera
Nov 27, 2023
•
6 min read
Research Insights
How to Calculate Expected Value: Simple EV, Simple-Partial EV, and Real EV
We share the three EV calculations you can use with the information available in any brokerage platform and compare the methods to determine their accuracy.
Robert Cernera
Sep 5, 2023
•
6 min read
Research Insights
Trade Ideas Probability & Performance: Expected Value vs. Realized P/L
We analyzed 130k Trade Ideas positions to visually compare each trade's realized P/L to its Expected Value at trade entry.
Robert Cernera
Aug 17, 2023
•
6 min read
Research Insights
0DTE Options: Strategy Insights from the Top Performing Trades
We analyzed 230k 0DTE options trades to determine what successful Option Alpha traders are doing and the key metrics that influenced profitable strategy setups.
Robert Cernera
Aug 8, 2023
•
10 min read
Research Insights
Trading the Opening Range: Mean Reversion vs Trend Following
How has market volatility impacted intraday mean reversion and trend following strategies? We analyzed the first trading hour in SPY to understand intraday mean reversion vs. trend following signals.
Steve Henry
Oct 31, 2022
•
4 min read
Research Insights
0DTE Options Strategies: Insights from 25k Trades
We analyzed over 25,000 0DTE option positions traded in the autotrading platform to assess what worked and how traders set up short-term trading strategies.
Robert Cernera
Aug 18, 2022
•
7 min read
Research Insights
We Analyzed 20,000 Options Trades: Here’s What We Learned About Position Swings
We studied over 20,000 trades to measure the average time between return extremes over the life of a trade. From all that data and research, see what stands out.
Kirk Du Plessis
Mar 25, 2022
•
4 min read
12:02
Poker vs Options Trading + using Reward/Risk to trade with an edge
Discover how to find an edge in options trading using probabilities and how to calculate the minimum reward/risk when evaluating trading opportunities.
Jack Slocum
October 17, 2024
•
12 min video
14:23
New RSI mean reversion options trading bot
Follow along with a step-by-step tutorial on creating a bot that trades mean reversion options strategies using overbought and oversold RSI levels.
Jack Slocum
October 17, 2024
•
14 min video
7:54
Automated 1DTE Iron Butterfly w/ Backtesting Data + 0DTE Debit Spread Bot
This video highlights new SPX overnight backtest data and two autotrading strategies: a 1DTE iron butterfly based on the research, and 0DTE debit spread bot.
Jack Slocum
October 17, 2024
•
7 min video
19:47
Peg Research Based 0DTE SPX Bot
This automated options trading bot trades 0DTE iron condors with favorable reward/risk based on backtested SPX "peg" research data.
Kirk Du Plessis
October 17, 2024
•
19 min video
14:58
0DTE Options Time Decay Research + How to Take Advantage of It
A detailed look at option time decay, with a focus on 0DTE options trading and the impact of theta on zero days to expiration positions.
Kirk Du Plessis
October 17, 2024
•
15 min video
No lessons matching this tag.
Show #228
•
Apr 26, 2023
Price Recovery Analysis - How Long Does It Take To Get Back To Even?
34 mins
Show #227
•
Apr 19, 2023
What 20-Years of Moving Average Data Teaches Us About Stock Reversals & Momentum
33 mins
Show #226
•
Apr 12, 2023
Does Adding a "Trend Filter" Improve Directional Option Selling Strategies?
50 mins
Show #207
•
Aug 16, 2021
The Option Alpha "Handbook"
47 mins
Show #205
•
Aug 2, 2021
Hedging vs. Diversifying
36 mins
Show #200
•
Jul 1, 2021
A Case Study on the Volatility of Bid-Ask Spreads
34 mins
Show #195
•
Oct 15, 2020
Short-Term Performance of Long-Term Strategies
1 hour, 6 mins
Show #183
•
Jul 6, 2020
The Predictive Power of Investor Sentiment
40 mins
Show #181
•
Jun 18, 2020
Correlation Research Suggests Diversification Fails When You Need It Most
58 mins
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